EPSTEIN
page 11 / 445 . OCR, unverified
lens' into their positions. Failure to do so will cause
the extrusion gaskets to "roll" and will result in
gasket failure and leakage.
2. If your lightbar has or will receive the new lens',
contact Whelen Technical Support for proper
installation, based on your specific lightbar. Be
sure to have your serial number ready when you
call.
Retro-Fit Kit Parts List (PIN! 01-0416281-00)
cjtY
DESCRIPTION
DIVIDER GASKETS
EXTRUSION PLUGS
EXTRUSION GASKETS
PART NUMBER
38-0141721-00C
38-0221866-00C
38-0316271-01C
Fig. 2
PLUG
SILICONE THIS
OPENING
COMPLETELY
Page 2
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IPI
INTERNATIONAL
PEACE
INSTITUTE
Monday. June 4, 12
Ladies and Gentlemen, good morning.
IPI is dedicated to promoting the prevention and settlement of conflict by strengthening
multilateral institutions. It sees peace and security as prerequisites for poverty eradication and
development.
Since 2008, at IPI we have been keeping a close eye on global trends that affect these fields in
which we work. We have done this particularly with our program Coping with Crisis, Conflict,
and Change.
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Global Trends and Crises
Monday, June 4, 12
Today, I would like to focus on two themes.
First of all, I will highlight a few main global trends and crises of our times.
Second, I will present data specific to the Middle East and North Africa. The reason, of course,
is that this is a region affected by sweeping changes that also have global implications.
Let me begin with global trends and crises.
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Demography
Environment
Technology
Economic Power
Social Tensions
Geopolitical Balance
Monday, June 4, 12
We have identified six mega-trends, for lack of a better word, that are creating massive
changes.
Namely:
"World demography,"
"Pressures on the Environment,"
"Technological Innovation,"
"Shifts in Economic Power,"
"Social Tensions," and
"Shifts in the Geopolitical Balance."
These mega-trends are transforming the conduct of world affairs as we speak. States and
multilateral organizations are struggling to come to grips with these changes on a daily basis.
The first mega-trend is demography.
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Monday, June 4, 12
People
People
•
1900
People
Demographic Shifts
Population per square km
I would like to emphasize three of many vital demographic changes.
First: the dramatic increase in world population over the last 100 years is creating
unprecedented challenges for humankind.
In 1900, there were on average 11 people living in every square kilometer.
In 1950, there were more than one and a half times as many people in the same space.
In 2010, this number grew to 46 people.
And by 2050, it will reach 62 people.
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Monday, June 4, 12
Second, the distribution of population throughout continents is changing dramatically.
Let me take just the most startling example. In 1950 the population of Europe was nearly two-
and-a-half times that of Africa's...
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Europe
Africa
2050
Poor d Population Prospects' The 2010 Revision Popular on Database. LN Population Division. 2011
Monday, June 4, 12
By the middle of the century, Africa's population will be more than three times that of Europe's.
By 2100, Nigeria alone will have more people than Europe today.
This has massive implications for those countries that will have to produce jobs and services
for a huge number of people.
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Russia
Pakistan
401111111rorw
1950
Monday, June 4, 12
Asia is another continent where most of the population growth is happening. Just to make
another comparison, in 1950, the population of Russia was more than two-and-a-half times that
of Pakistan's.
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Russia
Pakistan
2050
World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision Population Database, UN Population Division, 2011
Monday. June 4. 12
By 2050, Pakistan's population will be more than twice that of Russia's.
RI CC1701
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Monday, June 4, 12
Some countries, like Russia, will age dramatically, facing challenges for their pension and
health care systems. Other countries, like Pakistan, will have massive numbers of young
people requiring jobs and education.
In fact, a recent World Bank report estimated that the economies of South Asia will need to
create 1.2 million jobs every month for the next 20 years just to keep up with these
demographic shifts.
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Cities
Over 1 million people in 1900
Monday, June 4, 12
Urbanization is the third demographic shift. In 1900, only 16 cities had populations over 1
million.
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